It seems that a crop surplus has led to a 14-year low in agricultural industry profits according to Bloomberg. The amount of debt that farms have taken on is said to be the highest in the last 30 years.
The banks don’t want to give out anymore loans unless they are secured by land. This has caused an influx of interest in the USDA program which was originally designed to be a last ditch effort, not a standard. Enter in the statistically consistent problem with any government programs. You said it. Yes. This one is almost broke as well.
The lessors of land will find it to be a difficult year most likely. Will lease rates fall? Still remains to be seen. According to the USDA, the forecasts do not look good in the profit column for 2016. The National Farmers Union is petitioning Congress for a credit solution asap so that they can continue production.
Recently there has been a surprising increase in prices and it is the agricultural industries hope that the rally continues.
(Data courtesy of Bloomberg, National Real Estate Investor 2016)